Archive for December, 2014

BOOK: Trading Secrets. REMINDER – Presidential Cycle Strategy

20 Hard and Fast Rules to Help You Beat the Stock Market
By Simon Thompson.

Presidential Cycle Strategy
This has a 100% track record.

In the past 5 decades, the stock market has not once failed to rise in pre-election years. This is mainly due to the monetary and fiscal stimulus the economy gets ahead if the elections, which investors react favorably to.

Buy Dow/S&P index on January 1st of the 3rd year of the presidential cycle and keep the position open until the end of the year. Ave return is 17.9%.

The chance of losing money in the 4th year is minimal. In the past 10 cycles (40 years), there have only been 2 down 4th years. Ave return of (5%).

Then the author suggests a better strategy: buy on October 1st of the 2nd year. Hold until December 31st of the election year (27 months). For the last 14 cycles, the return has averaged 40%.

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Ralph’s Nephews & Sledding

Got about 8" of snow. I'm supervising the blowing up of a sledding tube.

Got about 8″ of snow. I’m supervising the blowing up of a sledding tube.

That must have been quite the ride!

That must have been quite the ride!

We had the sledding hill to ourselves.

We had the sledding hill to ourselves.

Ralph looks like a giant.

Ralph looks like a giant.

Sledding was slow at first as the snow was very powdery.

Sledding was slow at first as the snow was very powdery.

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Ralph’s Nephews & Tumalo Falls

Ralph’s nephews from Tampa play with snow for the first time

Tumalo Falls is all white and hardly noticeable [on the upper right]

Tumalo Falls is all white and hardly noticeable [on the upper right]

Gabe was rolling around in the snow like a puppy dog.

Gabe was rolling around in the snow like a puppy dog.

The guys are checking out the river.

The guys are checking out the river.

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A Little Girl Singing

I was in my backyard fiddling around. The little neighbor girls were playing in their yard. One started to sing. Ahhhhh ahhhh, opera like, instead of a song. Just then, a previously quiet dog started to howl. The little girl stopped…and so did the dog. She started up again, so did the howling. This went on a bit until she stopped. Now, even though I can’t carry a tune, I found this pretty amusing.

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I Got a Big Girl eBike!

I upgraded my ebike (electric bike) today! Got disc brakes and more importantly, got fatter/full size (26″) tires which will be better on ice/slush and the aftermath … dreaded cinders.

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Kids Jeopardy

Sure am digging kid’s week on Jeopardy. I can answer all the questions!

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